Matchday 25 of the Premier League is upon us and brings with it a slate of enticing fixtures, including Manchester United vs Tottenham, Newcastle vs Brentford, and a headline clash between Manchester City and Liverpool. Below, we break down our best bets for the upcoming matchday, focusing on value, trends, and key match dynamics across the Premier League.
Premier League Matchday 25 Betting Tips
- Manchester United vs Tottenham: Bet Builder
- Wolves vs Chelsea – Chelsea Win
- Newcastle vs Brentford- Best Player Prop
- Saturday Player Prop ACCA/Parlay
- Liverpool vs Manchester City – Best Bet
Manchester United vs Tottenham: Bet Builder
- Both Teams to Receive a Card
- Over 7.5 Shots on Target
- Xavi Simons (TOT) 1+ Fouls Committed
Odds:
- American: +160
- Decimal: 2.60
- Fractional: 8/5
Both Teams to Receive a Card: I do believe this match will test Michael Carrick. Tottenham have been inconsistent at best this season but are coming off a strong second-half performance in a 2–2 comeback draw against Manchester City last weekend. Spurs will be looking to carry that momentum into this match.
With this shaping up to be a tightly contested fixture in my eyes, there is room for tactical fouls and tough challenges throughout. I am backing both sides to pick up at least one card in this match.
Over 7.5 Shots on Target: Manchester United have looked renewed in their matches under Michael Carrick so far. United have recorded an average of 6.66 shots on target in their three matches under Carrick. Tottenham have recorded an average of 6.80 shots on target per match in their last five matches across all competitions.
I foresee both sides creating chances in this match and both sides recording a number of shots on target.
Xavi Simons (TOT) 1+ Fouls Committed: Xavi Simons has committed an average of 0.98 fouls per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season. With the likes of Amad Diallo and Diogo Dalot attacking down Simons’ flank, I do expect the young Dutchman to be put under pressure and commit at least one foul in this match.
Pick: 3-Leg Bet Builder
*Individual legs are voided if player does not start
Data provided via fbref
Wolves vs Chelsea – Chelsea Win
Pick: Chelsea – Win
Odds:
- American: -152
- Decimal: 1.66
- Fractional: 33/50
Win probability metrics have given Chelsea a 63% chance of winning this match.
New Chelsea manager Liam Rosenior has made a solid start to life in charge of the Blues. With that being said, Chelsea are coming off a midweek second-leg EFL Cup semi-final loss to Arsenal, who won 1–0 on the night and advanced to the final with a 4–2 aggregate victory.
While Chelsea have shown encouraging signs, Wolves have looked abysmal throughout the season. Wolves have managed just one Premier League win through 24 matches and are coming off a 2–0 home defeat to Bournemouth last weekend. A similar result could follow here.
I am backing Liam Rosenior’s Chelsea to take all three points from this match as the Blues continue their fight to finish in the top four.
View all match win probabilities for the Premier League here!
Pick: Chelsea – Win
Newcastle vs Brentford- Best Player Prop
Pick: Igor Thiago (BRE) 1+ Shots on Target
Odds:
- American: -175
- Decimal: 1.57
- Fractional: 57/100
To view our full pre-match analysis for this match, click here.
Igor Thiago is Brentford’s main man this season, surpassing all expectations and even potentially putting himself on Brazil’s plane to the World Cup this summer. Igor Thiago has scored 16 goals in the Premier League this season with Brentford and has averaged 1.38 shots on target per 90 minutes.
With Thiago being the direct outlet for Brentford’s counter-attacks and also being the main target man on Brentford set pieces and crosses into the box, I am backing Igor Thiago to get at least one shot on target in this match.
Pick: Igor Thiago (BRE) 1+ Shots on Target
Data provided via fbref.
*Pick is voided if player does not start
Saturday Player Prop ACCA/Parlay
- Alex Scott (BOU) 1+ Fouls Drawn (vs Aston Villa)
- Iliman Ndiaye (EVE) 1+ Fouls Drawn (vs Fulham)
- Jarrod Bowen (WHU) 1+ Shots on Target (vs Burnley)
Odds:
- American: +110
- Decimal: 2.10
- Fractional: 11/10
Alex Scott (BOU) 1+ Fouls Drawn (vs Aston Villa): Alex Scott has been an integral player in Bournemouth’s side this year in midfield. What makes Alex Scott so valuable is his ability and want to drive forward with the ball to break opposition defensive lines with his legs. With Scott being such a good ball carrier through the middle of the park, he often draws fouls when beating opposition defensive lines. Alex Scott has drawn an average of 2.09 fouls per 90 minutes this season in the Premier League.
Iliman Ndiaye (EVE) 1+ Fouls Drawn (vs Fulham): With Jack Grealish out and Ndiaye ready to reenter Everton’s lineup, much of their attack will likely be directed down the right wing. Ndiaye has had a phenomenal season so far this year and there are no signs of him letting up. Ndiaye has drawn an average of 1.30 fouls per 90 minutes this season in the Premier League and I expect him to be a handful for Fulham defenders in this match.
Jarrod Bowen (WHU) 1+ Shots on Target (vs Burnley): Bowen has been one of the only real lights for West Ham this season. Bowen has averaged 0.96 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season. I expect West Ham to create their fair share of chances in this match against Burnley and I believe that Jarrod Bowen will be at the forefront of their attacking play. I am backing Jarrod Bowen to record at least one shot on target in this match.
Pick: 3-Leg Player Prop ACCA / Parlay
*Individual legs are voided if player does not start
Data provided via fbref
Liverpool vs Manchester City – Best Bet
Pick: Both Teams to Score + Both Teams to Receive a Card
Odds:
- American: +100
- Decimal: 2.00
- Fractional: 1/1
Both Manchester City and Liverpool have looked vulnerable defensively in recent matches, while still maintaining strong attacking output.
Liverpool have averaged 3.2 goals per match across their last five matches in all competitions, including a 6–0 thrashing of Qarabağ in the UEFA Champions League. Manchester City, meanwhile, have averaged 2.0 goals per match over the same span.
Liverpool’s new arrivals, Hugo Ekitiké and Florian Wirtz, have begun to link up well and are both in strong form. For City, Erling Haaland has been quieter of late, but if there is one player capable of making a decisive impact in a match of this magnitude, it is the Norwegian.
With Liverpool battling for Champions League qualification and City still alive in the title race, I expect a cagey opening before the match opens up as it progresses. In a tightly contested fixture like this, I can see multiple players finding themselves in foul trouble. I am backing both teams to score and both teams to receive a card.
Pick: Both Teams to Score + Both Teams to Receive a Card
Data provided via FotMob
About the author, Mitchell Poirier.
Disclaimer: The betting picks and analysis shared are for informational purposes only and are not guarantees of outcome or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly and only risk money you are willing to lose.
