The Premier League returns from the international break this weekend, with the marquee matchup taking place on Sunday, November 23, when Tottenham visit the Emirates Stadium to face Arsenal in the latest edition of the North London Derby. Here, we break down the Premier League best bets and predictions for the upcoming Premier League weekend.
Contents:
- Bournemouth vs West Ham: Bournemouth Win
- Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Erling Haaland (MCI) – to Score a Goal
- Aston Villa vs Leeds: Aston Villa Win
- Arsenal vs Tottenham: Tottenham – Most Cards
- Manchester United vs Everton: Same-Game Parlay / Bet Builder
Bournemouth vs West Ham: Bournemouth Win
Odds:
- American: -164
- Decimal: 1.61
- Fractional: 61/100
For a full extensive pre-match analysis for this match, check out our article here.
Bournemouth are the stronger side here and have impressed with their form at home. West Ham may come into this one on a two-match winning run, but the flaws in their play continue to show. The absence of Lucas Paquetá will not bode well for the Irons, who already struggle with pace, creativity, and energy.
Pick: Bournemouth Win
Newcastle United vs Manchester City: Erling Haaland (MCI) – to Score a Goal
Odds:
- American: -125
- Decimal: 1.80
- Fractional: 4/5
Erling Haaland has been in absolutely sensational form all season long for both club and country. This is a massive fixture, and I expect Haaland to rise to the occasion as he battles Newcastle’s central defenders, Malick Thiaw and Sven Botman.
I’m backing City’s talisman to continue his run of form and provide Manchester City with at least one goal against a recently shaky Newcastle side.
Pick: Erling Haaland (MCI) – to Score a Goal
*Pick is voided if player does not start
Aston Villa vs Leeds: Aston Villa Win
Odds:
- American: +150
- Decimal: 5/2
- Fractional: 27/20
Aston Villa finally look like they’re getting fully back to their best under Unai Emery. They’re coming off a 4-0 mauling of Bournemouth, a match in which they put the Cherries through their paces and looked sharp both defensively and in attack. Win-probability models place Villa at a 56% chance of winning, and with the odds where they are, I’ll take my chances and back Emery’s side to extend their winning run.
Arsenal vs Tottenham: Tottenham – Most Cards
Odds:
- American: -139
- Decimal: 1.72
- Fractional: 18/25
For a full extensive pre-match analysis for this match, check out our article here.
Arsenal have been very good this season at not letting their emotions get the better of them. Combined with their defensive structure and their ability to almost never be severely caught out of position, the Gunners have accumulated the fewest cards in the Premier League this season (11). Tottenham, meanwhile, rank third in cards accumulated, tied with Everton and Chelsea, with all three sides having picked up 26. [See image below]
I think Arsenal will see the bulk of possession, with Spurs’ midfielders and defenders being drawn into errors and bookings, especially in central areas of the pitch. Michael Oliver will referee the match. The last time Oliver took charge of an Arsenal match, Myles Lewis-Skelly was shown an undeserved red card – a decision that drew significant media attention and was later successfully appealed by the Gunners.
Mikel Arteta’s instructions will be clear: do not leave any decisions up to the referee or VAR.
I am taking Tottenham to find themselves in Michael Oliver’s book more than Arsenal.
Pick: Tottenham – Team to Receive Most Cards
Manchester United vs Everton: Same-Game Parlay / Bet Builder
- Both Teams to Receive a Card
- Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) 1+ Shots on Target (SoT)
- Bruno Fernandes (MUN) 1+ Fouls Drawn
- Amad Diallo (MUN) 1+ Fouls Drawn
Odds:
- American: +125
- Decimal: 2.25
- Fractional: 5/4
Both Teams to Receive a Card: I expect a hard-fought battle between these two historic Premier League sides. Everton currently average 2.36 cards per match, while Manchester United average just 1.27. Despite United’s low average, referee Tony Harrington averages 3.60 bookings per match in the Premier League this season. With Illan Ndiaye and Jack Grealish causing problems down the touchlines, United could find themselves in some foul trouble.
Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) 1+ Shots on Target: Mbeumo has been United’s best player this season. He averages 1.32 shots on target per 90 minutes and has recorded at least one effort on target in each of his last five Premier League appearances. His partnership with Amad Diallo has flourished, with Diallo consistently creating chances for him.
Bruno Fernandes (MUN) 1+ Fouls Drawn: Fernandes averages 1.83 fouls drawn per 90 minutes and, operating at the heart of midfield, should attract at least one foul from Everton’s defenders. He has been fouled at least once in four of his last five Premier League appearances.
Amad Diallo (MUN) 1+ Fouls Drawn: Diallo averages 1.67 fouls drawn this season and has been fouled at least once in four of his last five league appearances. Whether he starts at right wing-back or in the left-sided No. 10 role, I expect him to draw plenty of defensive attention.
*Pick is voided if any player does not start
Disclaimer: The betting picks and analysis shared are for informational purposes only and are not guarantees of outcome or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly and only risk money you are willing to lose.
