Round 13 of the Premier League season kicks off this Saturday with a full slate of exciting fixtures, including Everton vs Newcastle United. The weekend is headlined by Chelsea vs Arsenal at Stamford Bridge on Sunday. In this guide, we share the top Premier League betting tips and ACCA/parlay predictions for key matches, highlighting standout players, goal-scoring opportunities, and tactical insights to give you an edge this matchday.
Contents:
- Saturday Premier League ACCA/Parlay
- Everton vs Newcastle United: Everton Win – Draw No Bet
- Aston Villa vs Wolves: Aston Villa – Win
- Nottingham Forest vs Brighton: Over 7.5 Shots on Target
- Chelsea vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 Goals
Saturday Premier League ACCA/Parlay
- Brentford – Most Shots on Target (vs Burnley)
- Manchester City – Win (vs Leeds United)
- Granit Xhaka (SUN) 1+ Fouls Committed (vs Bournemouth)
Odds:
- American: +125
- Decimal: 2.25
- Fractional: 5/4
Brentford – Most Shots on Target (vs Burnley): I expect Brentford to control the ball for large stretches of this match and generate more chances than Burnley. So far this Premier League season, Brentford have averaged 3.83 shots on target per match, compared to Burnley’s 3.08 shots on target per match. Burnley also appear to be trending downward, having lost three straight matches. Brentford, meanwhile, have looked strong, winning four of their last six games in all competitions. I expect them to hit the target more often than their opposition here.
Manchester City – Win (vs Leeds United): Manchester City are coming into this match off the back of a disappointing UEFA Champions League performance at the Etihad which saw the Sky Blues lose 2-0 to German side Bayer Leverkusen. Manchester City also lost their last Premier League match last weekend against Newcastle United (courtesy of Harvey Barnes’ brace). This particular match comes at a good time for City, a home match against a struggling and weaker opponent. Manchester City will be looking to bounce back into the win column in this match and I strongly believe that they will. Win probability metrics have put Manchester City at a 79% chance of coming away with a win.
To view every match’s win probability for this weekend, click here.
Granit Xhaka (SUN) 1+ Fouls Committed (vs Bournemouth): Granit Xhaka has been exceptional for Sunderland this season and will once again take on his usual holding midfield role against Bournemouth. Xhaka has averaged 1.00 fouls per 90 minutes this season, which isn’t a standout number on its own. However, Bournemouth’s midfield is filled with progressive ball carriers who look to drive forward and break lines. Xhaka is not one to allow players to glide past him easily, and given Bournemouth’s midfield profile, I expect him to commit at least one foul in this matchup.
Pick: 3-leg ACCA/Parlay
*individual legs are voided if player does not start
Everton vs Newcastle United: Everton Win – Draw No Bet
Odds:
- American: -110
- Decimal: 1.90
- Fractional: 9/10
Everton beat Manchester United 1-0 last time out despite picking up a red card in just the 13th minute of the match when Idrissa Gana Gueye struck his own teammate, Michael Keane, in the face. Newcastle enter into the match coming off of a tough 2-1 defeat in the UEFA Champions League away at Olympique Marseille.
I expect this match to be a tightly contested one which is why I am opting for the Draw No Bet line. Although I do think it will be a close one, Newcastle have been horrible away from home this season – yet to pick up a win – drawing three matches and losing three matches so far on the road in the Premier League. Newcastle will also have limited preparation and rest time due to their tough midweek fixture which ultimately saw them lose to the French side in the south coast of France. I believe that these key details could be the difference in a close contest.
Pick: Everton Win – Draw No Bet
Aston Villa vs Wolves: Aston Villa – Win
Odds:
- American: -185
- Decimal: 1.54
- Fractional: 27/50
A classic Midlands derby. Aston Villa have looked sharp recently despite their difficult start to the Premier League season. They enter the match on a four-game winning streak across all competitions.
Wolves, on the other hand, have been the league’s weakest side by some distance, the only team yet to win a match after 12 fixtures and sitting on just two points.
Villa hold a strong 4-1-1 home record this season, while Wolves carry a poor 0-1-5 away record. Win probability metrics give Aston Villa a 73% chance of taking the victory, and I’m backing them to do just that.
To view every match’s win probability for this weekend, click here.
Pick: Aston Villa – Win
Nottingham Forest vs Brighton: Over 7.5 Shots on Target
Odds:
- American: -139
- Decimal: 1.72
- Fractional: 18/25
For a full extensive and detailed pre-match analysis, check out our article covering the match here.
I think that Nottingham Forest will create opportunities on the counter-attack against Brighton’s possession-heavy style and their 3-2-5 attacking formation. I also believe that Brighton will be able to generate chances from their play in the outside lanes if they can pull Forest defenders out of shape. Furthermore, from those wide areas, Brighton should be able to deliver quality crosses into dangerous zones in the box, which could lead to several Brighton players getting shots away at the Forest goal.
So far this Premier League season, Brighton have averaged 4.33 shots on target per match while allowing their opponents an average of 3.25 shots on target.
In Forest’s three Premier League matches under Sean Dyche, they have averaged a staggering 5.33 shots on target per match while allowing their opposition to average 4.67 shots on target. Although the sample size is small, this aligns with how Forest look to play.
With a low total shots-on-target line here, I am backing the over in what will hopefully be an exciting and thrilling contest.
Pick: Over 7.5 Shots on Target
Chelsea vs Arsenal: Over 2.5 Goals
Odds:
- American: -110
- Decimal: 1.90
- Fractional: 9/10
Arsenal and Chelsea are two clubs that are both flying at the moment. Arsenal defeated Tottenham 4-1 last weekend in the latest edition of the North London Derby and followed that performance up with a statement 3-1 victory over German champions Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League in midweek. At the same time, Chelsea defeated Burnley 2-0 in the Premier League last weekend and had a sensational performance against Barcelona in the UEFA Champions League in midweek, toppling the Spanish giants 3-0 at Stamford Bridge.
Both sides have some injury concerns in their back line. Chelsea have, for the majority of the season, been dispatching a pairing of either Chalobah, Acheampong, or Fofana in central defense due to their long injury list. Tosin is also available for Chelsea in the back line but he did not make an appearance against Barcelona, potentially calling into question Enzo Maresca’s trust in his defender. Nonetheless, Chelsea’s back line at times lack experience and physicality which does not bode well against Arsenal and their set pieces.
Arsenal’s back line took a recent hit with Gabriel Malaghaes sustaining an injury while on international duty with Brazil. Hincapie or Mosquera will step into the position – both of whom have shown good quality in their limited appearances so far this season.
This match very well could end 0-0 and be a defensive battle or it could swing the other way and be a goalfest between two extremely dangerous sides in attack. I am hoping for the latter.
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals
Disclaimer: The betting picks and analysis shared are for informational purposes only and are not guarantees of outcome or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly and only risk money you are willing to lose.
