Premier League Matchweek 17 delivers a slate of high-profile fixtures with major implications across the table, including Tottenham vs Liverpool, Everton vs Arsenal, and Aston Villa vs Manchester United. With form, pressure, and key matchups all in play, this weekend presents several strong betting opportunities. Below, we break down our best bets and same game parlays for Matchweek 17, focusing on value, trends, and match dynamics across the Premier League.
Contents:
- Brighton vs Sunderland: Brighton – Win
- Tottenham vs Liverpool: Liverpool – Most Shots on Target + Both Teams to Receive a Card
- Everton vs Arsenal: Arsenal – Win + Arsenal – Most Shots
- Aston Villa vs Manchester United: Bet Builder / Same Game Parlay
Brighton vs Sunderland: Brighton – Win
Odds:
- American: -154
- Decimal: 1.65
- Fractional: 13/20
For our full extensive article covering the pre-match analysis and betting tips, click here.
Pick: Brighton – Win
Tottenham vs Liverpool: Liverpool – Most Shots on Target + Both Teams to Receive a Card
Odds:
- American: -105
- Decimal: 1.95
- Fractional: 19/20
Liverpool – Most Shots on Target:
So far this season in the Premier League, Liverpool have averaged 4.25 shots on target per match while Tottenham have averaged 3.19 shots on target per match. In the same breath, Liverpool have allowed their opposition an average of 3.62 shots on target per match while Tottenham have allowed 4.19.
Liverpool appear to be finding their footing after an extremely rough patch. The Reds have now gone five consecutive matches unbeaten in all competitions and are coming off a 2–0 win against Brighton last weekend. On the other side, Tottenham have struggled this season and currently sit 11th in the Premier League table. Spurs’ most recent outing saw them fall 3–0 to Nottingham Forest in a difficult loss.
Across Tottenham’s last five Premier League matches, they have averaged just 2.80 shots on target per match, while allowing their opposition an average of 5.00 shots on target per match.
With Liverpool seemingly back on track and Tottenham continuing to struggle, I expect Liverpool to be the more dominant side in this match and to create the more dangerous opportunities.
Both Teams to Receive a Card:
Tottenham have averaged 2.56 cards per match while Liverpool have averaged 1.88 cards per match so far in the Premier League this season. This match does hold some weight to it as these two big six clubs face one another and I see both sides picking up a minimum of one booking each.
Pick: Liverpool – Most Shots on Target + Both Teams to Receive a Card
Everton vs Arsenal: Arsenal – Win + Arsenal – Most Shots
Odds:
- American: +100
- Decimal: 2.00
- Fractional: 1/1
For our full extensive article covering the pre-match analysis and betting tips, click here.
Pick: Arsenal – Win + Arsenal – Most Shots
Aston Villa vs Manchester United: Bet Builder / Same Game Parlay
- Matheus Cunha (MUN) 1+ Fouls Drawn
- Morgan Rogers (AV) 1+ Fouls Drawn
- Amadou Kamara (AV) 1+ Fouls Drawn
- Over 7.5 Shots on Target
Odds:
- American: +175
- Decimal: 2.75
- Fractional: 7/4
Matheus Cunha (MUN) 1+ Fouls Drawn:
Matheus Cunha has drawn an average of 2.12 fouls per 90 minutes this season in the Premier League. Cunha’s progressive carrying ability and explosiveness on the ball allow him to cover ground quickly and break defensive lines by driving forward himself. He draws fouls from opposition players at a high rate, and I expect Villa’s midfielders and defenders to be forced into committing fouls to halt dangerous moments in this match.
Morgan Rogers (AV) 1+ Fouls Drawn:
Morgan Rogers has been an absolute star for Aston Villa this season, performing beyond expectations. I anticipate a ferocious battle in midfield, and with the confidence Rogers currently has on the ball, combined with his natural ability, I expect Manchester United to be very aware of the damage he can cause if given time and space. For that reason, I believe Rogers will draw at least one foul in this match.
Amadou Kamara (AV) 1+ Fouls Drawn:
Amadou Kamara has also been a standout performer for Villa this season in a holding midfield role. He has drawn an average of 1.93 fouls per 90 minutes, which comes as no surprise when watching his role in Villa’s counter-attacking play. Villa often look to counter centrally, progressing the ball line-to-line, with Kamara frequently drawing fouls from opposing players looking to break down attacks early.
Over 7.5 Shots on Target:
Manchester United lead the Premier League in shots on target per match with an average of 5.25.Aston Villa have averaged 4.19 shots on target per match. These are two sides that can successfully create shooting chances and goal scoring opportunities. I think that this match will be an attack-minded one and with that I do think that both sides will be able to successfully create shooting opportunities for themselves.
*Individual legs are voided if player does not start
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Disclaimer: The betting picks and analysis shared are for informational purposes only and are not guarantees of outcome or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly and only risk money you are willing to lose.
