Premier League Predictions & Best Bets: Picks, Odds, Best Bets for Matchday 9

The Premier League returns this weekend with a full slate of fixtures, kicking off when West Ham United visit Leeds United on Friday, October 24, 2025. It’s shaping up to be an action-packed matchday featuring several key clashes. Arsenal host Crystal Palace on Sunday, Manchester United welcome Brighton to Old Trafford on Saturday, and Manchester City travel to face Aston Villa on Sunday. Here, we break down our favorite betting lines and predictions for the upcoming Premier League weekend.

Contents:

  • Newcastle United vs Fulham: Newcastle United Win + Under 4.5 Total Goals
  • Manchester United vs Brighton: Both Teams to Score
  • Manchester United vs Brighton: Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) 1+ Shot on Target (SoT)
  • Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: Over 7.5 Shots on Target (SoT)
  • Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Erling Haaland (MCI) 2+ Shots on Target (SoT)
  • 3-Leg Player Shot on Target Parlay / ACCA

Newcastle United vs Fulham: Newcastle United Win + Under 4.5 Total Goals

For a full extensive and detailed pre-match analysis, check out our article covering the match here.

Odds:

  • American: -110
  • Decimal: 1.90
  • Fractional: 9/10

Fulham are on the back of three consecutive Premier League losses against Aston Villa, Bournemouth, and Arsenal respectively. Newcastle United come into the match after a good midweek UEFA Champions League showing where they picked up a win against Jose Mourinho’s Benfica side 3-0 at home. In Newcastle’s last Premier League outing, they lost 2-1 away at Brighton and will be eager to get back in the win column. 

Newcastle have the stronger side between the two and have shown solid form recently.

Fulham currently rank 15th in the Premier League for goals scored, with eight goals through eight matches – an average of 1.00 goal per game. That places them one spot ahead of Newcastle, who have scored seven in eight matches, averaging 0.88 goals per game. Newcastle’s relatively low total is largely due to their early-season away fixtures, with all three of their first Premier League away matches ending 0-0.

Fulham have scored only three goals across their four away matches so far and have accumulated a total expected goals (xG) of just 7.7 through eight league fixtures.

I see Newcastle winning this match, with Fulham once again struggling to create clear chances going forward, making the under 4.5 goals line a realistic and appealing option.

Pick: Newcastle United Win + Under 4.5 Total Goals

Manchester United vs Brighton: Both Teams to Score

For a full extensive and detailed pre-match analysis, check out our article covering the match here.

Odds:

  • American: -175
  • Decimal: 1.57
  • Fractional: 57/100

Manchester United host Brighton on Saturday in what should be an exciting, end-to-end battle. Both sides enter this match following 2-1 victories. Rúben Amorim’s United recorded their first back-to-back wins under the Portuguese manager after a big away win at Anfield, while Brighton earned their three points at home against Newcastle United.

Both teams are capable of creating quality chances and tend to complement one another stylistically, making a goal-filled match likely.

For an in-depth look into the analysis for this match and why exactly I think this match will be a thriller, please view our pre-match article on the match.

Pick: Both Teams to Score

Manchester United vs Brighton: Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) 1+ Shot on Target (SoT)

Odds:

  • American: -164
  • Decimal: 1.61
  • Fractional: 61/100

Bryan Mbeumo has averaged 1.18 shots on target per 90 minutes played so far this Premier League season. With the half-spaces in which Mbeumo likes to operate being the likely point of attack for United in this match, I see Mbeumo getting a shot on target against this Brighton side.

Pick: Bryan Mbeumo (MUN) 1+ Shot on Target (SoT)

*Pick is voided if player does not start

Arsenal vs Crystal Palace: Over 7.5 Shots on Target (SoT)

Odds:

  • American: -143
  • Decimal: 1.70
  • Fractional: 7/10

This is a low total for this match. In the last four meetings between these two sides in all competitions, the over 7.5 Shots on Target (SoT) line has hit 4/4 times. Oliver Glasner was the manager of Crystal Palace in the last three meetings. 

Crystal Palace currently lead the Premier League (level with Manchester City) in shots on target per match with 4.87. Arsenal in their own right have averaged 4.00 shots on target per match. The reasoning behind the line for the total being so low is due to the strong defensive abilities of both sides – Arsenal currently lead the Premier League with 2.25 opponent shots on target per match while Crystal Palace have held their opposition to an average of 3.12 shots on target per match. Arsenal at home this season across all competitions have averaged 5.17 shots on target per match across six home fixtures.

With that being said, this Arsenal side can create opportunities and will look to break down the strong defensive side of Crystal Palace. Arsenal enter into the match after a midweek mauling of Atlético Madrid 4-0 in the UEFA Champions League. Crystal Palace on the other hand hosted Cypriot side AEK Larnaca in the UEFA Conference League, a match where they disappointingly lost 1-0. Palace’s side was rotated a decent amount in their midweek match, however, even with rotations, match fatigue may begin to set in here.

Arsenal have been susceptible to giving opponents opportunities on counter-attacks this season when they have sustained possession and are pushed high up the pitch when they turn the ball over which fits in perfectly with Crystal Palace’s counter-attacking style of play. Arsenal also bring the entirety of their back line up to attack set pieces, meaning that the opportunity for counter-attacking play from set pieces is high.

Pick: Over 7.5 Shots on Target (SoT)

Aston Villa vs Manchester City: Erling Haaland (MCI) 2+ Shots on Target (SoT)

Odds:

  • American: +120
  • Decimal: 2.20
  • Fractional: 6/5

Manchester City travel to Villa Park this weekend for what should be an intriguing clash. Erling Haaland has been in sensational form, averaging 2.37 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League this season.

Haaland has scored in seven of City’s eight league matches so far, tallying 11 goals in eight games, remarkable numbers even by his standards. Given his consistency and City’s attacking dominance, there’s little reason to believe he won’t test the Villa keeper multiple times here.

Pick: Erling Haaland (MCI) 2+ Shots on Target (SoT)

*Pick is voided if player does not start

3-Leg Player Shot on Target Parlay / ACCA

  • Nick Woltemade (NEW) 1+ Shot on Target (vs Fulham)
  • Viktor Gyökeres (ARS) 1+ Shot on Target (vs Crystal Palace)
  • Erling Haaland 1+ Shot on Target (vs Aston Villa)

Odds:

  • American: -110
  • Decimal: 1.90
  • Fractional: 9/10

All three of these players are expected to start for their respective sides this weekend.

Nick Woltemade (NEW): Newcastle are hosting Fulham this weekend. Nick Woltemade so far this season has averaged 0.69 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the Premier League since joining the Magpies. Yes, that average is low, however, Woltemade has quickly shown his talent and has recorded 1+ shot on target in his last three Premier League matches and in 4 of 5 most recent club matches across all competitions. Fulham have allowed their opposition an average of 4.00 shots on target per match in the Premier League so far this season.

Viktor Gyökeres (ARS): Arsenal play host to Crystal Palace on Sunday this weekend. Gyökeres has averaged 0.81 shots on target per 90 minutes played with Arsenal in the Premier League this season. Gyökeres has recorded 1+ shot on target in three of his last three Premier League appearances and 1+ shot on target in five of his last five matches in all competitions at club level. Across Gyökeres’ last five appearances for the Gunners, he has averaged 1.60 shots on target per match. Arsenal are finally creating chances for their main man up top. I see him finding the target at least once in this match.

Erling Haaland (MCI): Manchester City are away at Aston Villa this weekend in what should be a good battle. Erling Haaland has been in some of the most impressive form I’ve seen, recording an average of 2.37 shots on target per 90 minutes played in the Premier League this season. In Manchester City’s eight league matches played so far, Haaland has scored in seven of them. That’s 1+ goal in 7/8 Premier League matches so far. More impressively, across those eight Premier League matches, he has scored 11. 11 goals across 8 Premier League matches this season. Those numbers are astonishing, even if it is Erling Haaland. I do not expect him to struggle to find the target at least once in this match.

Pick: Woltemade (NEW), Gyökeres (ARS), Haaland (MCI) 1+ Shot on Target (SoT) Each

*individual legs are voided if player does not start

Disclaimer: The betting picks and analysis shared are for informational purposes only and are not guarantees of outcome or financial advice. Please gamble responsibly and only risk money you are willing to lose.

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